Reasoned-Bibliothek · 18. Okt. 2026

Hold and look through the fuel shock

3 Begründungen2 Quellen

The Fed keeps its rate at 3.75–4.00% and only raises it again if inflation outside food and energy keeps climbing.

Begründungen

1.
Higher interest rates don’t produce more oil or diesel, so they can’t fix a price spike caused by war.
- Stützt
  Gasoline alone made up more than half of September’s price increase.
  - Al Jazeera: US inflation rises before midterm elections, fuelling rate hike fears (aljazeera.com)
  - Al Jazeera: US inflation rises before midterm elections, fuelling rate hike fears (aljazeera.com)
Einwände
- Raise rates again in October · Lässt etwas weg
  Rates don’t lower fuel prices, but they can stop fuel costs from spreading into wages and other prices.
2.
The job market is already weakening, and another hike could tip it into recession.
- The Spokesman-Review (AP): Energy, gas costs push inflation higher. Paychecks are lagging behind (spokesman.com)
Einwände
- Raise rates again in October · Übertrieben
  One weak month is not a trend, and unemployment only ticked up slightly.
  Quelle angefragt · 1
3.
Real wages are already falling, so households are being squeezed without also paying more to borrow.
- The Spokesman-Review (AP): Energy, gas costs push inflation higher. Paychecks are lagging behind (spokesman.com)
Einwände
- Raise rates again in October · Folgt nicht daraus
  Falling real wages are caused by inflation itself, which is a reason to fight it, not to wait.

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